CAR v Burkina Faso tips: Goals in Casablanca
Over 2.5 goals @1.78 at Betway is our pick. Central African Republic have conceded at least twice in each of their last five matches, while Burkina Faso have managed only one clean sheet across their own last five.
Key takeaways
- CAR lost 3-1 to Mauritania after briefly drawing level.
- Burkina Faso conceded in four of their last five matches.
- This fixture is in Casablanca, not Bangui.
Best bet
Betway SA odds: 27 September 2026, 10:20-10:35 SAST.
| Selection | Market | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | Total goals | @1.78 | Betway |
CAR keep conceding in batches
The 3-1 defeat by Mauritania followed a 3-0 loss to Angola, a 3-2 win over Chad and defeats by Ghana and Comoros. CAR conceded 15 goals across those five matches. Even their one victory required three goals.
Goduine Koyalipou equalised shortly after half-time against Mauritania, only for CAR to concede twice more. That is a more useful pointer for the goals market than the nominal home advantage: Monday's qualifier is being played in Morocco.
Burkina Faso have their own defensive problems
Lassina Traoré's penalty put Burkina Faso ahead against Benin, but Tosin Aiyegun equalised from the spot after the break. It was another match without a clean sheet after the 2-2 draw with Belarus and 3-0 defeat by Russia.
Their 5-0 win over Guinea-Bissau shows the other side of the argument. Burkina Faso can score heavily against a struggling defence, and CAR arrive with a longer sequence of defensive failures than the Stallions.
Burkina Faso are conceding too
Burkina Faso are @1.26 to win. We prefer the goals bet at @1.78 because CAR's scoring contributions against Chad and Mauritania give the total another route, while Burkina Faso's recent defending makes a spotless away performance less persuasive.
Verdict
Take over 2.5 goals @1.78. CAR's repeated concessions and Burkina Faso's uneven defence make goals the better angle than the short away price.