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Cape Verde v Rwanda tips: Back over 2.5

Over 2.5 goals @2.17 at Betway is our pick. Rwanda have scored nine goals in three successive wins, while Cape Verde have conceded three in each of their last two matches.

Sipho Nkosi
Published 27 Sep 2026 ยท Last updated 27 Sep 2026

AFCON Qualifiers ยท 29 September 2026 ยท 18:00 SAST ยท National Stadium, Praia

Key takeaways

  • Rwanda followed wins over Grenada and Estonia with a 3-1 victory over Liberia.
  • Cape Verde lost 3-2 to Argentina and 3-1 to Mali.
  • Three different Rwanda players scored against Liberia.

Best bet

Betway SA odds: 27 September 2026, 10:20-10:35 SAST.

SelectionMarketOddsBookmaker
Over 2.5 goalsTotal goals@2.17Betway

View odds at Betway

Rwanda bring more than an outsider's price

Arthur Biramahire opened the scoring after two minutes against Liberia. Leroy Mickels and Joy-Lance Mickels added the other goals before half-time in a 3-1 win.

That followed a 4-0 victory over Grenada and a 2-0 win against Estonia in March. Cape Verde are a stronger opponent, but Rwanda's nine goals across those three matches make their attack relevant to this total.

Cape Verde have been conceding

Mali scored three against Cape Verde on Friday, with Nene Dorgeles netting twice. Sidny Cabral had briefly equalised, but Cape Verde allowed seven shots on target and had only two themselves.

Their previous match was the 3-2 World Cup defeat by Argentina. They also drew 2-2 with Uruguay during the group stage, giving three of their last five matches at least four goals.

The World Cup blanks are the counterargument

Cape Verde also drew 0-0 with Spain and Saudi Arabia. They are capable of a much tighter game, and those results stop us treating every recent outing as open.

Rwanda's current scoring run is what takes us towards over 2.5 at better than even money. Cape Verde have scored against Mali, Argentina and Uruguay; the visitors arrive with enough recent goals of their own to make the @2.17 total more interesting than the @1.31 home win.

Verdict

Back over 2.5 goals @2.17. Rwanda's scoring form gives this match a stronger goals case than their long win price suggests.

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