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Burundi v Algeria tips: Visitors to win

Algeria to win @1.23 at Betway is our pick. Burundi have lost five successive matches without scoring, while Algeria created 21 shots in their 3-1 win over Zambia.

Sipho Nkosi
Published 27 Sep 2026 ยท Last updated 27 Sep 2026

AFCON Qualifiers ยท 29 September 2026 ยท 15:00 SAST ยท Stade Intwari, Bujumbura

Key takeaways

  • Burundi's last five matches ended in five defeats and no goals.
  • Algeria had six shots on target against Zambia.
  • Mohamed Amoura supplied two assists in that 3-1 win.

Best bet

Betway SA odds: 27 September 2026, 10:20-10:35 SAST.

SelectionMarketOddsBookmaker
AlgeriaFull-time result@1.23Betway

View odds at Betway

Burundi's problem is at the other end

Togo beat Burundi 1-0 on Friday through Karim Dermane's early goal. It continued a run of defeats by margins of one or two goals, rather than heavy collapses.

Five matches without scoring make it hard to build a case for the hosts even at @9.00. They have kept games relatively close, but have not supplied the goal that might turn one of those performances into a point.

Algeria recovered after Zambia equalised

Jaouen Hadjam scored inside two minutes against Zambia. After Fashion Sakala levelled, Ibrahim Maza and Anis Hadj Moussa struck to secure a 3-1 victory.

Amoura assisted the first two goals, and Algeria finished with 21 shots to Zambia's 12, including six on target. The visitors bring both recent chance creation and several contributors to the scoring, rather than relying on a single opening.

Burundi have stayed close without scoring

The @1.23 away win is short, and Burundi's narrow defeats argue against expecting a huge margin. What supports the result bet is the contrast between Burundi's repeated blanks and Algeria's six shots on target in their opener.

Algeria did concede after taking an early lead against Zambia. Burundi need to find a level of attacking output absent from their last five games to exploit a similar lapse.

Verdict

Back Algeria to win @1.23. Burundi's five-match scoring drought is the decisive weakness, rather than an expectation of a high-scoring away win.

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