Guinea-Bissau v Nigeria tips: Hosts to compete
Guinea-Bissau or draw @2.60 at Betway is our pick. The hosts have conceded only three goals in their last five matches, while Nigeria have gone three games without a clean sheet.
Key takeaways
- Guinea-Bissau opened with a 2-0 away win over Tanzania.
- Nigeria had to recover from a goal down against Madagascar.
- Neither of Guinea-Bissau's last two defeats was by more than one goal.
Best bet
Betway SA odds: 27 September 2026, 10:20-10:35 SAST.
| Selection | Market | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guinea-Bissau or draw | Double chance | @2.60 | Betway |
A stronger opener than the price suggests
Fali Djú and Mama Baldé scored in Guinea-Bissau's 2-0 win over Tanzania. They now return to Bissau with three points and a clean sheet.
Their previous four games brought 1-0 defeats by Egypt and Ethiopia, a 2-0 win over Djibouti and a 1-1 draw with Sierra Leone. Guinea-Bissau have not been conceding heavily, even when the result has gone against them.
Nigeria's recovery followed a defensive error
Ehsan Kari put Madagascar ahead after a short-corner routine exposed Nigeria's offside line. George Ilenikhena equalised before half-time and Moses Usor scored the winner, securing a 2-1 victory.
Nigeria also conceded twice against Portugal and Poland in June. They have goals in the side, but the recent defensive record makes an away win at @1.30 less compelling than the names in their attack might suggest.
Bissau is a tougher result bet
Nigeria beat Zimbabwe 2-0 and Jamaica 3-0 before those June matches. Their attacking form is the main threat to this selection, especially after two debutants scored against Madagascar.
We prefer the hosts with the draw included at @2.60. Guinea-Bissau's low concession rate and opening away win give them a credible chance of keeping this close enough to take a point.
Verdict
Back Guinea-Bissau or draw @2.60. Their recent defending makes Nigeria's short away price worth opposing.