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Finland v Belarus tips: Home attack gets the nod

We're backing Finland to win @1.64 at Betway. Four players scored in their 7-0 opener, while Belarus allowed Albania 20 shots in a 2-0 defeat.

Sipho Nkosi
Published 27 Sep 2026 · Last updated 27 Sep 2026

UEFA Nations League · 29 September 2026 · 18:00 SAST · Helsinki Olympic Stadium, Helsinki

Key takeaways

  • Joel Pohjanpalo scored a hat-trick against San Marino.
  • Finland were already 4-0 ahead before San Marino's red card.
  • Belarus managed only two shots on target against Albania.

Best bet

Betway SA odds: 27 September 2026, 10:20-10:35 SAST.

SelectionMarketOddsBookmaker
FinlandFull-time result@1.64Betway

View odds at Betway

Finland's scoring was not just a late rush

Pohjanpalo, Adrian Svanbäck and Benjamin Källman scored before half-time against San Marino. Leo Walta made it 4-0 in the 50th minute, before Alessandro Golinucci was sent off.

Walta added another goal and Pohjanpalo completed his hat-trick after the red card. San Marino were weak opposition, but Finland had already settled the contest at eleven against eleven.

Belarus allowed too many attempts

Albania had 20 shots to Belarus's eight on Saturday. Kristjan Asllani's penalty and Ernest Muçi's goal before half-time secured a 2-0 win, with Belarus managing only two efforts on target.

The visitors avoided further damage after the break. Their problem was producing enough at the other end to change the game, an issue Finland can exploit if they take another early lead.

Belarus will offer more resistance

Belarus are a stronger opponent than San Marino, and Albania converted only three of those 20 attempts into shots on target. Tuesday should therefore be a more demanding test of Finland's finishing.

Pohjanpalo's hat-trick was supported by goals from three teammates, while Belarus arrive after being outshot heavily and failing to score. Finland have more attacking contributors in form.

Verdict

Take Finland to win @1.64. Their productive opening attack faces a Belarus side that conceded too many attempts in Albania.

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