Belgium v France tips: Hosts can take a point
Belgium or draw @1.82 at Betway is our pick. The hosts are unbeaten in six home matches, with five clean sheets, and France arrive without the injured Kylian Mbappé.
Key takeaways
- Belgium won 2-0 in Italy on Friday.
- Mbappé is out after injuring his left knee against Turkey.
- Belgium's last six home games brought five wins and a draw.
Best bet
Betway SA odds: 27 September 2026, 10:20-10:35 SAST.
| Selection | Market | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium or draw | Double chance | @1.82 | Betway |
Belgium's home record deserves respect
Mark van Bommel began his reign with a 2-0 victory in Rome. Kevin De Bruyne supplied an assist as Belgium scored once in each half and kept Italy out.
That away performance adds to an already strong home record. Five clean sheets in six unbeaten games in Belgium give the hosts a defensive basis for taking something from Monday's match.
France lose Friday's match-winner
Mbappé scored the only goal against Turkey before leaving with a knee injury. He has returned to Real Madrid and will miss the rest of the international camp.
France still have substantial attacking options, but the loss is specific: the player who supplied their only goal on Friday is unavailable. Against a Belgium side that has repeatedly kept clean sheets at home, that matters more than a routine change to the squad.
France's head-to-head record is the warning
France have won the last five meetings and are unbeaten in their last five away matches, with four wins. That is a strong argument against taking Belgium outright.
The @1.82 double chance is our preference. Belgium's home defensive record, Friday's win in Italy and Mbappé's absence support a point for the hosts, while the draw keeps France's recent superiority in the matchup in view.
Verdict
Take Belgium or draw @1.82. The hosts' home record and France's loss of Mbappé make this a better contest than the away win price suggests.