Turkey v Italy tips: Back under 2.5
Under 2.5 goals @2.02 at Betway is our pick. Both teams failed to score in their opening matches, and Turkey remain without Hakan Çalhanoğlu and Kenan Yıldız.
Key takeaways
- Turkey lost 1-0 to France; Italy lost 2-0 to Belgium.
- Turkey are missing Çalhanoğlu and Yıldız through injury.
- Alessandro Bastoni returns from suspension for Italy.
Best bet
Betway SA odds: 27 September 2026, 10:20-10:35 SAST.
| Selection | Market | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 goals | Total goals | @2.02 | Betway |
Turkey are missing attacking influence
Turkey held France for almost an hour before Mbappé scored. They tested Mike Maignan after the break but could not find an equaliser, then lost goalkeeper Uğurcan Çakır to a red card.
Çalhanoğlu and Yıldız remain absent, while Orkun Kökçü has been struggling with a toe problem. That leaves Turkey short of several players who would normally contribute to their passing and attacking combinations.
Italy's reset started without a goal
Roberto Mancini's return began with a 2-0 home defeat by Belgium. Italy conceded midway through each half and failed to score, leaving them level with Turkey at the bottom of the group.
Bastoni is available after suspension, an important defensive addition for the trip to Bursa. Federico Dimarco, Bryan Cristante and Manuel Locatelli are injured, however, limiting Mancini's options elsewhere.
The goalkeeper change is the risk
Çakır's suspension means Turkey must change goalkeeper, with Altay Bayındır having replaced him late against France. That is the main concern for an under selection.
Neither side's opener supplied a convincing attacking case for a high total. Turkey's missing creative players and Italy's goalless start take us towards under 2.5 at @2.02, rather than trying to separate two teams coming off defeats.
Verdict
Back under 2.5 goals @2.02. Turkey's attacking absences and Italy's unproductive opener are the strongest features of this matchup.