Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau Tips: Back the Visitors
Back Guinea-Bissau to beat Madagascar. They have beaten Nigeria and Tanzania without conceding, while Madagascar have taken one point from the same two opponents.
Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau. Thursday, 12 November 2026, 18:00 SAST. AFCON Qualifiers. Stade d'Honneur, Meknes.
Match comparison
| Team | Recent performance | Key detail |
|---|---|---|
| Madagascar | Lost 2-1 to Nigeria | Drew 1-1 with Tanzania |
| Guinea-Bissau | Beat Nigeria 3-0 | Beat Tanzania 2-0 |
The same opponents produced very different returns
Guinea-Bissau's 3-0 win over Nigeria followed a 2-0 victory away to Tanzania. Five goals, two clean sheets and six points make this more than a case built around one surprise result.
Madagascar lost 2-1 to Nigeria and drew 1-1 with Tanzania. Against precisely the same opposition, they have scored three fewer goals and conceded three more.
Madagascar are playing in Morocco
The fixture is at Stade d'Honneur in Meknes. Madagascar are the designated home side, but this is not a trip to their own ground for Guinea-Bissau.
That removes one obvious reason to expect the form gap to narrow. Madagascar need to stop an attack that scored three against Nigeria while finding a way past a defence neither Nigeria nor Tanzania breached.
Guinea-Bissau's earlier defeats still matter
Before this qualifying start, Guinea-Bissau lost 5-0 to Burkina Faso and 1-0 to both Egypt and Ethiopia. Their improvement has been sharp rather than a continuation of months of strong results.
Madagascar also scored five against Kyrgyzstan and beat Equatorial Guinea 2-0 before this group programme. They have attacking results to point to, but the two shared qualifying opponents provide the closer comparison. That comparison favours Guinea-Bissau.
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