Samoa vs Georgia Nations Cup Tips - 11 July
Samoa host Georgia at Estadio Sausalito in Nations Cup Round 2. Georgia are ranked 13th to Samoa's 20th. Our picks.
- Samoa host Georgia at Estadio Sausalito in Vina del Mar, Chile, on Saturday 11 July, kicking off at 21:00 SAST.
- Georgia sit 13th in the World Rugby Rankings against Samoa's 20th, and lost a tighter Round 1 test away to Uruguay while Samoa cruised past Hong Kong China 66 to 19.
- We are backing Georgia to win and cover the handicap, with the total edging over 40.5 points.
Georgia go into Vina del Mar as the form side and the higher ranked side, and that is where the value sits on Saturday. Samoa were ruthless in Round 1, but Hong Kong China is not the yardstick Georgia gave them in Montevideo. We are backing the Lelos to make it two wins from two in the World Rugby Nations Cup, with the scrum as the launch pad.
The Pick Card
Prices from Hollywoodbets, Betway and Easybet. 18+. T&Cs apply.
| Selection | Bookmaker | Odds | Stake | Operator CTA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia to win | Hollywoodbets | @1.80 (indicative) | 2 Units | Bet here |
| Georgia handicap -3.5 | Betway | @1.90 (indicative) | 2 Units | Bet here |
| Total match points over 40.5 | Easybet | @1.75 (indicative) | 2 Units | Bet here |
The Form Line
Samoa opened their Nations Cup campaign with a 66 to 19 hammering of Hong Kong China in Santiago, running in nine tries against a side several tiers below them in the World Rugby rankings. It was an eye catching scoreline, but the opposition tells us more than the performance does.
Georgia lost their Round 1 opener 41 to 34 away to Uruguay in Montevideo, a much sterner away test in South America. Georgia currently sit 13th in the World Rugby Rankings against Samoa in 20th, a seven place gap that makes the Lelos favourites on paper for this one.
Head to Head
| Year | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | World Rugby Nations Cup, Round 1 | Uruguay 41 Georgia 34 (Georgia away defeat) |
| 2026 | World Rugby Nations Cup, Round 1 | Samoa 66 Hong Kong China 19 |
We are not going to invent a head to head record between these two nations that we have not verified. What we do know is both arrive with one match under their belts in this new tournament, and Georgia's forward heavy approach travels better against Tier 1 style opposition than Samoa's task against Hong Kong suggested.
Team News
No confirmed team news had broken for either side by the time of writing. Samoa go into the match with no home fixtures in this competition, playing all three of their July matches in South America, so squad rotation from the Hong Kong game cannot be ruled out.
Verdict
The ranking gap and the tougher Round 1 opponent both point to Georgia at Estadio Sausalito. We like the Lelos to win outright, and we think there is enough depth in their pack to cover a healthy handicap, with the game also going over the points total if either side's defence creaks.
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